Kenya’s Economy Slows to 4.0% Growth in Q3 2024: KNBS Report

  • Kenya’s economy grew by 4.0% in Q3 2024, the slowest rate since Q4 2022.
  • Growth declined from 4.6% in Q2 2024 and 6.0% in Q3 2023.
  • Key drivers: agriculture (4.2%), real estate (5.5%), and transport & storage (5.2%).
  • Construction and mining were the only sectors that contracted.
  • Services remain the dominant sector, comprising 60% of the economy.
  • Industrial and non-service sectors face growth challenges due to high input costs.

The Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) revealed that the economy expanded by 4.0% in Q3 2024, marking a significant slowdown compared to 4.6% in Q2 2024 and 6.0% in Q3 2023. This represents the lowest quarterly growth since Q4 2022, reflecting subdued activity across key sectors.

Sectoral Contributions to Growth

  1. Agriculture (4.2%)
    Agriculture remained a critical growth driver despite slower performance than previous quarters.
  2. Real Estate (5.5%)
    The sector posted steady growth, benefiting from ongoing investments and increased demand for housing and commercial spaces.
  3. Transport & Storage (5.2%)
    Transport grew at a faster pace, driven by increased light diesel consumption as fuel prices eased.

Sectors in Decline:

  • Construction and Mining: Both sectors experienced contractions, reflecting weaker activity and elevated input costs.

Economic Composition and Challenges

The services sector continues to dominate the economy, contributing approximately 60% to GDP, followed by the primary sector. The industrial sector lags significantly, highlighting untapped potential in non-service areas.

Persistent challenges, including high production costs and inefficiencies, hinder growth in industrial and non-service sectors. Addressing these challenges is crucial to diversifying Kenya’s economic base and fostering sustainable growth.

Kenya’s 4.0% GDP growth in Q3 2024 highlights slowing economic momentum amid sectoral challenges. While services remain dominant, unlocking growth in agriculture, industrial, and other non-service sectors will require strategic interventions to address inefficiencies and enhance competitiveness. As Kenya navigates these economic hurdles, targeted reforms will be essential to bolster resilience and drive inclusive growth.

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